--- title: How LTV Uses Past Behavior to Predict Future Outcomes description: In this MGS Europe 19 session, Martin Jelinek, Head of Marketing for AppAgent, delivers an informative and insightful overview of lifetime value (LTV) predictions. image: https://web3growthassociation.com/hubfs/Screen%20Shot%202020-05-29%20at%203.15.33%20PM.png --- [![MGA Logo_Horizontal-Color-434px](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/MGA%20Logo_Horizontal-Color-434px.png?width=217&height=26&name=MGA%20Logo_Horizontal-Color-434px.png "MGA Logo_Horizontal-Color-434px")](https://web3growthassociation.com/) Open Search Events [MGS 22 Las Vegas](https://events.bizzabo.com/358800) [Executive Connect](https://events.bizzabo.com/executiveconnect) [Women Of The Year Awards 2022](https://widgets.mobilegrowthassociation.com/events/mgs-22/page/2031094/women-of-the-year-awards) [See All Events](https://web3growthassociation.com/events) [APPLY TO SPEAK](https://web3growthassociation.com/speaker-application) APPLY TO SPONSOR Webinars & Webcasts [MGA Webinars](https://web3growthassociation.com/webinars) [APPLY TO SPEAK](https://web3growthassociation.com/speaker-application) APPLY TO SPONSOR Podcasts [Fintech Growth Talk](https://web3growthassociation.com/fintech) Channels [User Acquistion](https://www.mobilegrowthsummit.com/all-media?ua) [Retention & Engagement](https://www.mobilegrowthsummit.com/all-media?re) [Artificial Intelligence](https://www.mobilegrowthsummit.com/all-media?ai) [Monetization](https://www.mobilegrowthsummit.com/all-media?monetization) [LTV](https://www.mobilegrowthsummit.com/all-media?ltv) [Mobile Gaming](https://www.mobilegrowthsummit.com/all-media?gaming) [See All Media](https://web3growthassociation.com/all-media) [SUBMIT ARTICLE IDEA](https://share.hsforms.com/1qyaCXBsCRHyus5ftkoqRXw34v9x?__hstc=17895014.67ed4e0440429f7fd858dbdaa6017f42.1596082292944.1610407079532.1610469949158.104&__hssc=17895014.1.1610469949158&__hsfp=555322576) [Industry Jobs](https://careers.mobilegrowthassociation.com) [Join Now](https://web3growthassociation.com/membership) Open Search Close Search [  3 App Marketing Mistakes to Avoid](https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/3-app-marketing-mistakes-to-avoid) [Why You Should Try In-App Programmatic Advertising  ](https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/serious-advantages-to-in-app-programmatic-advertising) # How LTV Uses Past Behavior to Predict Future Outcomes ![](https://web3growthassociation.com/hubfs/Screen%20Shot%202020-05-29%20at%203.15.33%20PM.png) [Rebecca Castellani](https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/author/rebecca-castellani) Posted Jun 12, 2020 [mailto:?subject=Check%20out%20How%20LTV%20Uses%20Past%20Behavior%20to%20Predict%20Future%20Outcomes%20&body=Check%20out%20https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/how-ltv-uses-past-behavior-to-predict-future-outcomes&utm_medium=social&utm_source=email](mailto:?subject=Check%20out%20How%20LTV%20Uses%20Past%20Behavior%20to%20Predict%20Future%20Outcomes%20&body=Check%20out%20https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/how-ltv-uses-past-behavior-to-predict-future-outcomes&utm_medium=social&utm_source=email) [LTV](https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/tag/ltv) In this MGS Europe 19 session, Martin Jelinek, Head of Marketing for AppAgent, delivers an informative and insightful overview of lifetime value (LTV) predictions.   Jelinek introduces LTV by discussing the nature of prediction and the use of historical data to determine a set of rules. He explains how these rules can create a predictive model that enables additional inputs to become future conclusions and highlights the three most common models: - retention x ARPDAU - spending ratio - behavior Jelinek notes that predictive outcomes are always a percent chance or range, but can still be used to improve user-acquisition rates or re-engage existing users. Jelinek then gives some practical examples of how LTV models are applied to subscription apps, in-app purchases, and e-commerce apps. After some thoughts on how a team should drive the LTV prediction process, Jelinek summarizes the session with key takeaways.   #### [![](https://web3growthassociation.com/hubfs/icon-calendar.svg) Upcoming Events](https://web3growthassociation.com/events) #### [![MGA Podcasts](https://web3growthassociation.com/hubfs/icon-podcasts.png) Podcasts](https://web3growthassociation.com/podcasts) ##### [![Simplifying Taxes for Freelancers](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/image001-2.jpg?width=300&name=image001-2.jpg) Simplifying Taxes for Freelancers Posted Feb 15, 2022](https://web3growthassociation.com/podcasts/simplifying-taxes-for-freelancers) ##### [![Unlocking the Potential of Financial Services with AI](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Fintech-Growth-Talk---Kevin-Levitt.jpg?width=300&name=Fintech-Growth-Talk---Kevin-Levitt.jpg) Unlocking the Potential of Financial Services with AI Posted Dec 29, 2021](https://web3growthassociation.com/podcasts/unlocking-the-potential-of-financial-services-with-ai) ##### [![AARP: The intersection of Health Tech and Fintech](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/image001-1.jpg?width=300&name=image001-1.jpg) AARP: The intersection of Health Tech and Fintech Posted Dec 10, 2021](https://web3growthassociation.com/podcasts/aarp-the-intersection-of-health-tech-and-fintech) ##### [![FinTech and mobile strategy insights from Google](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Cherlene-Jolly%20V2.jpg?width=300&name=Cherlene-Jolly%20V2.jpg) FinTech and mobile strategy insights from Google Posted Nov 27, 2021](https://web3growthassociation.com/podcasts/fintech-and-mobile-strategy-insights-from-google) ##### [![Rebuilding the financial services ecosystem one API at a time](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Fintech---Richie-Serna.jpg?width=300&name=Fintech---Richie-Serna.jpg) Rebuilding the financial services ecosystem one API at a time Posted Nov 10, 2021](https://web3growthassociation.com/podcasts/rebuilding-the-financial-services-ecosystem-one-api-at-a-time) ### Recommended Articles #### [![Where the action and the money *really* is in mobile gaming apps](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Website%20Images/Podcast%20Images/All/NebojshaMitrikeski_mediaThumbnail-650x325.jpg?width=300&name=NebojshaMitrikeski_mediaThumbnail-650x325.jpg) Where the action and the money \*really\* is in ... Posted Sep 28, 2018](https://web3growthassociation.com/podcasts/2018/09/28/where-the-action-and-the-money-really-is-in-mobile-gaming-apps) #### [![How Homesnap attracted 1 million real estate agents – and keeps them coming back](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Website%20Images/Podcast%20Images/All/TimCondon_mediaThumbnail-650x325.jpg?width=300&name=TimCondon_mediaThumbnail-650x325.jpg) How Homesnap attracted 1 million real estate ... Posted Nov 2, 2018](https://web3growthassociation.com/podcasts/2018/11/02/how-homesnap-attracted-1-million-real-estate-agents-and-keeps-them-coming-back) #### [![Five Tips: Developing Apps for Foldable Displays](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/mika-baumeister-vI8_06RmSC0-unsplash%20(1).jpg?width=300&name=mika-baumeister-vI8_06RmSC0-unsplash%20(1).jpg) Five Tips: Developing Apps for Foldable Displays Posted Apr 6, 2021](https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/five-tips-developing-apps-for-foldable-displays) #### [![Keeping Up with ASO Updates Impacting App Store Optimization in 2019](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Linda_Harnisch-01-1.png?width=300&name=Linda_Harnisch-01-1.png) Keeping Up with ASO Updates Impacting App Store ... Mobile Gaming Posted Jul 3, 2019](https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/2019/07/03/keeping-up-with-aso-updates-impacting-app-store-optimization-in-2019) #### [![Save more than money by automating your media portfolio](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Matt%20Sadofsky.jpg?width=300&name=Matt%20Sadofsky.jpg) Save more than money by automating your media ... Posted Dec 19, 2019](https://web3growthassociation.com/videos/save-more-than-money-by-automating-your-media-portfolio) #### [![How marketers can use keyboard apps to power effective UA and build brand](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Website%20Images/Video%20Images/Baidu-650x325.jpg?width=300&name=Baidu-650x325.jpg) How marketers can use keyboard apps to power ... Posted Apr 26, 2019](https://web3growthassociation.com/videos/2019/04/26/how-marketers-can-use-keyboard-apps-to-power-effective-ua-and-build-brand) ### Related Articles #### [5 Tips For Mastering The Google UAC Challenge From InnoGames](https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/2019/04/09/5-tips-for-mastering-the-google-uac-challenge-from-innogames) #### [Web-to-App Strategy: Maximize Market Share, Save Money & Improve Tracking](https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/web-to-app-strategy-maximize-market-share-save-money-improve-tracking) #### [Tips To Localize Your ASO For New Markets](https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/tips-to-localize-your-aso-for-new-markets) #### [How to Grow Your App Outside of Search and Social](https://web3growthassociation.com/blog/how-to-grow-your-app-outside-of-search-and-social) Join Our Newsletter Sign-up to get the latest mobile growth news, updates, and trends directly in your inbox twice a month. [![MGA Logo_Vertical-White-400px](https://web3growthassociation.com/hs-fs/hubfs/MGA%20Logo_Vertical-White-400px.png?width=200&height=100&name=MGA%20Logo_Vertical-White-400px.png "MGA Logo_Vertical-White-400px")](https://web3growthassociation.com/) - [Events](https://www.mobilegrowthsummit.com/events) - [Media](https://www.mobilegrowthsummit.com/all-media) - [Company](https://web3growthassociation.com/company) - [Become a Sponsor](https://www.mobilegrowthsummit.com/sponsor-application) - [Apply to Speak](https://www.mobilegrowthsummit.com/speaker-application) - Subscribe to MGA Newsletter - [Advertise With Us](https://share.hsforms.com/1wSm-xNj1TZGNZ0YiR97aGA34v9x) - - - - - © 2020 MOBILE GROWTH ASSOCIATION ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Contact us at [info@mobilegrowthsummit.com](mailto:info@mobilegrowthsummit.com) [Privacy Policy](https://web3growthassociation.com/privacy-policy) [Terms & Conditions](https://web3growthassociation.com/terms-and-conditions) #### Become a Sponsor The MGS Annual Sponsor Rewards maximizes and drives growth for our Sponsors. We are rewarding our loyal Sponsors in our seventh year of business with a comprehensive range of additional benefits and services. Enter your contact information here and we'll email you a Sponsor Kit so you can drive deal-flow and bottom-line revenue for your company. #### Apply to Speak #### Join our newsletter Sign-up to get the latest mobile growth news, updates, and trends directly in your inbox twice a month.